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experts generally believe that the bank of japan will raise interest rates again in december, and this change in expectations will affect global markets, especially the change in the interest rate differential between the us dollar and the yen, as well as between china and the united states. a survey by the japan center for economic research showed that more than a third of economists expect the bank of japan to raise interest rates again in december, which contrasts with the pace of the us federal reserve's policy.
as an important participant in the global economy, the monetary policy of the bank of japan will have a profound impact on the global market. many analysts believe that the differences in monetary policies between the united states and japan and the changes in japan's domestic economic momentum will have an impact on the trend of the yen.
in terms of domestic policies, china is also in a golden period of monetary policy adjustment. the us federal reserve's sharp interest rate cuts have brought both opportunities and challenges to the chinese economy. many institutions predict that in the coming months, the fed's interest rate cut cycle will last for 14-16 months.
in this case, the people's bank of china needs to make reasonable adjustments based on its own situation and maintain a moderately loose policy. regarding the adjustment direction of monetary policy, huajin securities analyst qin tai believes that a neutral stance should be maintained, and that supply is determined by demand, sufficient volume and stable prices are the more reasonable monetary policy expectations at present.
as the fed continues to cut interest rates, the people's bank of china will have more room to support a new round of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts. i believe that the country's leaders will carefully study the changes in the domestic and international economic situation and make decisions based on actual conditions.
