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guan leiming

technical director | java

disguised "victory": taiwan military recruitment results change "rapidly"

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with the increasingly serious shortage problem of the taiwan military, people's attention to the recruitment of the taiwan military has been increasing. in mid-august, the taiwan defense department announced a set of data, emphasizing that the recruitment results of volunteer officers and soldiers exceeded 100%; in addition, the recruitment achievement rate of officers' squads was as high as 103.1%. it was as if "divine soldiers descended from the sky" overnight! in order to prove the truth of the situation, the taiwan defense department also listed specific data when showing off its performance. however, there is a lot of knowledge in choosing what kind of data to publish. the taiwan military said that the planned recruitment target for 2024 is 18,906 people. if we calculate according to the "over 100% recruitment results" announced by the taiwan military, it is now august, and more than half of the year has passed. the taiwan military must recruit at least 10,000 people. however, the actual taiwan military only recruited 8,623 people. why is it that half of the time has passed, the number of recruits is less than half of the planned target, but the conclusion of "overfulfillment" can be drawn? the taiwan military's "clever trick" is being used here. they set a "stage plan number" for themselves, which was 8,266, lower than the actual number of recruits. in this way, the original failure to meet the target became an excess, making the "short-shortaged" taiwan military look strong.

compared with the taiwan military's "numbers game", if you want to understand the actual situation of taiwan's military personnel, a more reliable basis is the taiwan authorities' budget. taiwan military scholar jie zhong pointed out that the budgeted personnel in taiwan's defense budget will reflect the taiwan defense department's estimate of the number of people for that year, and will be more than the actual number. this shows that the recruitment situation of the taiwan military is not changing "quickly", but is hiding more problems.

the current situation of the taiwan military after lai qingde came to power is worrying. the number of weapons and ammunition purchased is increasing, the training intensity is getting higher and higher, the exercises are becoming more and more frequent, and the most fatal thing is that the number of main combat troops of the taiwan military is decreasing. this is not just a "reduction in force", but also the root cause of the weakening of combat power. however, when facing the crisis, the "alternative gripper" strategy adopted by the taiwan military has triggered widespread discussion.

although there are fewer people, the defense pressure has not decreased but increased, and the average pressure on each taiwan military officer and soldier is even worse. since the beginning of this year, there have been many self-injury and suicide accidents in the taiwan military, and the grassroots officers and soldiers are under great pressure. this situation is not accidental, it reflects the dilemma of the "total collapse" of lai qingde's rule.

this predicament did not happen overnight. behind it is the continuous weakening of combat power and inevitable social unrest. the "rapid" change in the recruitment results of the taiwan military only conceals a deeper crisis.

2024-09-07